I recently came across this 2010 article in Atlantic magazine: “The End of Men.” The article discusses how women now make up more than 50% of university students and more than 50% of the workforce, and how women are thriving more than men in the new economy, which values intellectual labor over physical labor.
The article makes some controversial points; read the comments to see just how controversial – but please take your blood pressure medication before you start on the comments.
I’m going to focus on just a few of the less-controversial bits, and then discuss what I see in the future for prostitution (as well as for the family).
Earlier this year, for the first time in American history, the balance of the workforce tipped toward women, who now hold a majority of the nation’s jobs. … Women dominate today’s colleges and professional schools—for every two men who will receive a B.A. this year, three women will do the same. Of the 15 job categories projected to grow the most in the next decade in the U.S., all but two are occupied primarily by women.
Note: the other two job categories are janitorial and computer engineering, in both of which fields women are capable of performing as well as men, so this may change as well.
The postindustrial economy is indifferent to men’s size and strength. … Since 2000, manufacturing has lost almost 6 million jobs, more than a third of its total workforce, and has taken in few young workers. … In 1950, roughly one in 20 men of prime working age … was not working; today that ratio is about one in five, the highest ever recorded.
Women are also starting to dominate middle management, and a surprising number of professional careers as well. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, women now hold 51.4 percent of managerial and professional jobs—up from 26.1 percent in 1980. They make up 54 percent of all accountants and hold about half of all banking and insurance jobs. About a third of America’s physicians are now women, as are 45 percent of associates in law firms—and both those percentages are rising fast.
Most men who patronize escorts are professional workers making at least six figures – or if less, not much less. This is only anecdotal evidence, but I will add a few supporting points. If you saw a $200 escort once a week that would cost you over 10k a year, which isn’t really supportable on less than 100k income. Some men who earn less than that will see escorts less often, or instead of escorts they might engage the less-expensive services of a streetwalker or one of the lower-priced massage workers. But for the most part, escort services are priced out of the range of the working class or lower-middle-class man’s budget. So the group from which most johns are drawn – those are the jobs where women are replacing men.
Near the top of the jobs pyramid, of course, the upward march of women stalls. Prominent female CEOs, past and present, are so rare that they count as minor celebrities … Only 3 percent of Fortune 500 CEOs are women, and the number has never risen much above that.
So, as I see it, economically three things are happening here. The working class is becoming more predominantly male, the middle class is becoming more predominantly female, and the realm of true wealth remains dominated by men.
Biological Imperatives
Men are biologically wired to want a lot of sex, and be interested in many partners, in order to father as many children as possible.
Women are biologically wired to nurture, protect and provide for their children. Until very recently, the best (and sometimes only) way to do this was to get a man to do the protecting and providing, or at least help out with it. In return, he got other services, like companionship, domestic work, and sex. Most people do not see this as a transaction, but rather as a partnership. But any partnership exists only so long as it benefits both partners.
In 1970, women contributed 2 to 6 percent of the family income. Now the typical working wife brings home 42.2 percent, and four in 10 mothers—many of them single mothers—are the primary breadwinners in their families.
If a woman no longer needs a man to get what she wants, how are men going to get what they want? Obviously this is a gross overgeneralization: women want more than just security and men want more than just sex. But those are the primary, dominant drives when it comes to partner choice. Biology does not change just because society does.
Changes for Women
Most men will not be able to rest on their paychecks alone: they will need to make themselves attractive to women on some other basis if they want a partner. In many cases that won’t be a problem (it doesn’t seem to be now), but I do believe there will be more women choosing to remain single, or choosing more casual partnerships that don’t involve commingling funds.
If women are choosing to remain single, then in the absence of a huge upswing in polyamory, that means that an equal number of men will be left single.
Even if women want to get married, they may have trouble finding partners who meet their expectations:
In February, I visited with Ashley Burress, UMKC’s student-body president. … “In 2012, I will be Dr. Burress,” she said. “Will I have to deal with guys who don’t even have a bachelor’s degree? I would like to date, but I’m putting myself in a really small pool.”
The sociologist Kathryn Edin spent five years talking with low-income mothers in the inner suburbs of Philadelphia. Many of these neighborhoods, she found, had turned into matriarchies, with women making all the decisions and dictating what the men should and should not do. … Over the years, researchers have proposed different theories to explain the erosion of marriage in the lower classes … Edin thinks the most compelling theory is that marriage has disappeared because women are setting the terms—and setting them too high for the men around them to reach.
Changes for Men
While the decline in the number of men with 6-figure jobs might seem to suggest that there will be fewer johns, I think the opposite is true.
Two or three (simultaneous) results are likely: 1) A larger number of single men who, while
they may earn less, will have fewer economic responsibilities, and thus may have more disposable income…and less female companionship 2) Married men who have more disposable income because their wives are making more 3) Men will continue to make up the majority of CEOs and other high-wealth positions.
All of these things point toward an increase (or at worst, no change) in the ability to pay for sexual services.
Changes for Prostitutes
All of the above points to a likely increase in the demand for prostitution. Even if we put sexual desire aside for a moment, I forsee there being many men who feel disenfranchised, either because they cannot find a mate, or because they feel like their mate doesn’t need them. Prostitutes, by definition, need men and their money. As they have throughout history, they will continue to provide whatever it is that men are not getting at home or from traditional courtship.
And while many people think that prostitutes are economically disadvantaged women with no other viable economic options, this is more accurate for the streetwalker (15% of prostitutes) and fairly unaccurate for the indoor worker, i.e. escorts, massage parlors, etc. (85% of prostitutes). Even now, women with advanced degrees are choosing prostitution when they could be making great money doing something else. So there’s no reason to believe that the supply of prostitutes will shrink, unless the profitability of the work declines, or demand drops. However, I’m not saying we’ll have more prostitutes. I personally believe that the decision to enter prostitution has less to do with economics, and more to do with a woman’s attitudes toward sex, men, and morality – how she feels about the idea.
I think that the number of prostitutes will remain about the same; if the percentage rises or declines it won’t be by much. However I believe the demographics will change a lot. There will be fewer women who choose prostitution out of economic desperation, because other opportunities are opening up. The prostitute population will be higher in levels of income and education.
Conclusion
It’s impossible to predict what the effects of these economic changes will be, because there are too many variables. All I can do is throw out some possibilities.
One possible, though extreme, outcome of this economic shift could be a move toward
polygamy. Those male CEOs will be able to (indeed, already can) attract multiple partners. I don’t think Warren Buffet’s about to start a harem, but he easily could. If enough of the top men do this, there’s going to be a problem. As in fundamentalist Mormonism and Islam, you would end up with a small percentage of the men monopolizing a large number of women, leaving the poorest or youngest men partnerless. When you have a large number of disaffected men you have a rebel army. But like I said, that’s just one extreme possibility.
On the other hand, maybe men and women will switch roles, with women being the primary breadwinners and men being the primary nurturers of their children.
Maybe women will do it all on their own and hire men when they need them. There probably won’t be an upswing in male prostitution for female clients, though, simply because of the biological differences in sex drive.
Maybe the boys growing up today will take on more traditionally female attributes, like becoming better communicators and students, and we’ll end up with a 50/50 balance in most professions.
Maybe men will rebel, assert their physical strength, and push society back into full male dominance.
Maybe paid sex will become the norm, and women will only take on unpaid partners who have something else to offer.
What do you think will happen?